80 days left

Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by December 31, 2026?

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YES Price

55¢

55% implied

NO Price

45¢

45% implied

Volume

$1.1K

108 trades

Smart Whales

of 37 traders

Michael Carrick out as Manchester United manager by...?

5 MARKETS · $5.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

by October 31, 2026

22¢−22¢$6940/2

by October 31, 2026−22¢22¢

$6940/2

by December 31, 2026←

55¢−5¢$1.1K3/3

by December 31, 2026←−5¢55¢

$1.1K3/3

by February 28, 2027

69¢−9¢$1.1K3/2

by February 28, 2027−9¢69¢

$1.1K3/2

by April 30, 2027

61¢−4¢$1.2K4/3

by April 30, 2027−4¢61¢

$1.2K4/3

by June 30, 2027

54¢+29¢$1.7K5/1

by June 30, 2027+29¢54¢

$1.7K5/1

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs3 NO

40%60%

60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges

+1 new YES$4+3 new NO$19

$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum

0 smart whales1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $10·NO $1

YES Team

Total Invested

$72

Avg Win Rate

59.3%

Aggregate P&L

-$6(-8.3%)

Whales

hithitfar🥇hedged

Entry 60¢·101.7 shares·also $5 on NO

$-6INV $61 · WR 59.7%

+$0INV $10 · WR 56.9%

NO Team

Total Invested

$34

Avg Win Rate

61.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$13(+36.5%)

Whales

hitunfar🥇

Entry 33¢·87.7 shares

+$11INV $29 · WR 61.1%

hithitfar🥈hedged

Entry 35¢·14.3 shares·also $61 on YES

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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