YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$422
197 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 48 traders
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11?
11 MARKETS · $1.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on September 11
0¢—$6410/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C or below on September 11—0¢
$6410/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on September 11
0¢—$1050/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on September 11—0¢
$1050/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 11
0¢—$1050/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on September 11—0¢
$1050/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 11
2¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 11—2¢
$00/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 11
6¢—$130/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on September 11—6¢
$130/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11←
27¢—$4220/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 11←—27¢
$4220/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11
37¢—$2160/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 11—37¢
$2160/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 11
25¢—$230/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 11—25¢
$230/0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 11
19¢—$00/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 11—19¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 40% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$154+38 new NO$500
$8 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $282 is directional: YES $114·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$114
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+5.1%)
Whales
5
9
0x9c95da0c...🥇
Entry 24¢·256.3 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $60 · WR 58.3%
P
pepead🥈
Entry 28¢·93.4 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $26 · WR 66.9%
F
forthecope🥉
Entry 29¢·88.2 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 62.4%
W
Welcome2026
Entry 28¢·3.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.1%
N
nothing-to-lose
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 76.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$168
Avg Win Rate
66.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-5.8%)
Whales
12
O
oleksiyz🥇
Entry 80¢·60 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $48 · WR 68.7%
R
runningman-848🥈
Entry 73¢·44.8 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $33 · WR 56.4%
A
AAAGoose🥉
Entry 81¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $24 · WR 73.2%
W
wetno
Entry 80¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 81.7%
B
Bilberry
Entry 75¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 60.6%
W
whhisky
Entry 82¢·13 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 70.8%
E
esp22
Entry 75¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 57.5%
6
0x68aef4fd...
Entry 81¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 71.9%
Y
yebaka
Entry 75¢·7.6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 57.3%
L
Lisimens
Entry 78¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 77.6%
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