34 days left
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
YES Price
62¢
62% implied
NO Price
38¢
38% implied
Volume
$5.8K
393 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 169 traders · 1 on both sides
Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?
3 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections←
62¢−22¢$5.8K14/21Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections←−22¢62¢
$5.8K14/21
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs21 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 69%· net of hedges
+48 new YES$2.8K+61 new NO$1.6K
$1.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 26 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.9K·NO $309YES Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$755(+39.1%)
Whales
14
V
vyemfql🥇
Entry 91¢·662.9 shares
Invested
$603
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $603 · WR 69.5%
J
jpceia🥈hedged
Entry 69¢·816 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$565
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$185
+$185INV $565 · WR 86.7%
M
mr.ozi◆Proven🥉
Entry 85¢·271.5 shares
Invested
$231
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $231 · WR 71.4%
C
clazzy1
Entry 29¢·600.3 shares
Invested
$171
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$381
+$381INV $171 · WR 64.5%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 91¢·161.1 shares
Invested
$147
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $147 · WR 76.3%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 71¢·170.8 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $122 · WR 55.6%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven
Entry 53¢·90.2 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $47 · WR 77.6%
T
TheFarmOwner
Entry 45¢·44.4 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $20 · WR 56.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 17¢·80 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $14 · WR 79.5%
O
ox01e607d27875e10bb09FcF3309C899a664313641
Entry 93¢·3 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 75.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$463
Avg Win Rate
68.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$282(-60.9%)
Whales
21
C
conherence🥇
Entry 57¢·281.1 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-139
$-139INV $161 · WR 58.5%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥈
Entry 54¢·146.4 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $79 · WR 62.4%
H
haveagoodday🥉
Entry 43¢·135 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $58 · WR 86.6%
S
Sardinianshepherd
Entry 50¢·88.6 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $44 · WR 67.9%
P
PeanutButter
Entry 54¢·37 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $20 · WR 72.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 52¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $16 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 71¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 75¢·18.1 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 88.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 88.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 43¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 69.6%
Showing top 10 of 21
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