YES Price
84¢
84% implied
NO Price
16¢
16% implied
Volume
$234.1K
1,077 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 210 traders · 10 on both sides
Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi
15 MARKETS · $234.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Game Spread: Varillas (-3.5) vs Arnaboldi (+3.5)
55¢—$00/0Game Spread: Varillas (-3.5) vs Arnaboldi (+3.5)—55¢
$00/0
Genoa: Completed Match: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi
50¢—$1500/0Genoa: Completed Match: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi—50¢
$1500/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs27 NO
55%45%
55% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 72%· net of hedges
+140 new YES$165.4K+135 new NO$91.6K
$92.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 64 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales29 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5.1K of $23.0K is hedged across different prices by 10 wallets. True directional: YES $15.6K·NO $2.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$18.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.7K(+36.8%)
Whales
33
F
Flaznorp🥇hedged
Entry 80¢·9,070.8 shares·also $34 on NO
Invested
$7.3K
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$1095
+$1095INV $7.3K · WR 56.1%
N
Numb-Ramie🥈
Entry 62¢·4,960.7 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$1529
+$1529INV $3.1K · WR 71.6%
G
ghostorder🥉hedged
Entry 67¢·4,260.5 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$1071
+$1071INV $2.9K · WR 55.9%
I
Irresponsible-Autumnhedged
Entry 47¢·3,149.2 shares·also $899 on NO
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$1423
+$1423INV $1.5K · WR 60.6%
T
tradecrafthedged
Entry 91¢·865.8 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$791
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $791 · WR 57.1%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 67¢·1,142.7 shares·also $303 on NO
Invested
$770
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$287
+$287INV $770 · WR 56.0%
W
Which-Textual
Entry 43¢·1,635.3 shares
Invested
$695
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$817
+$817INV $695 · WR 63.7%
M
macastel3
Entry 64¢·867.5 shares
Invested
$552
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$250
+$250INV $552 · WR 79.2%
O
ojghedged
Entry 83¢·161.2 shares·also $13 on NO
Invested
$134
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $134 · WR 58.3%
R
rile89
Entry 72¢·140.8 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $101 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-87.8%)
Whales
27
T
thestingsnake🥇hedged
Entry 73¢·1,714.2 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-1129
$-1129INV $1.3K · WR 62.3%
G
ghostorder🥈hedged
Entry 64¢·1,938.1 shares·also $2.9K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-1104
$-1104INV $1.2K · WR 55.9%
I
Irresponsible-Autumn🥉hedged
Entry 43¢·2,092.9 shares·also $1.5K on YES
Invested
$899
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-742
$-742INV $899 · WR 60.6%
T
TRCMhedged
Entry 94¢·851.8 shares·also $39 on YES
Invested
$803
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-739
$-739INV $803 · WR 56.5%
E
Eulhunterhedged
Entry 54¢·558 shares·also $770 on YES
Invested
$303
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-261
$-261INV $303 · WR 56.0%
E
ellawwgg
Entry 94¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
91.7%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $73 · WR 91.7%
Q
qrup
Entry 90¢·45 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $41 · WR 63.8%
F
Flaznorphedged
Entry 59¢·57.5 shares·also $7.3K on YES
Invested
$34
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $34 · WR 56.1%
P
PaperCut1k
Entry 27¢·115.4 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $31 · WR 61.8%
E
0xe751090b...
Entry 96¢·16.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 61.0%
Showing top 10 of 27
Smart Whale Trades
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