YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$762
100 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 52 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 8?
11 MARKETS · $3.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or below on September 8
2¢−2¢$1170/1Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or below on September 8−2¢2¢
$1170/1
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 8
3¢+47¢$3652/2Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 8+47¢3¢
$3652/2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 8
4¢+16¢$5041/4Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 8+16¢4¢
$5041/4
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 8
12¢−2¢$4551/9Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 8−2¢12¢
$4551/9
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 8
20¢+5¢$4813/9Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 8+5¢20¢
$4813/9
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 8
22¢−5¢$2921/5Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 8−5¢22¢
$2921/5
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 8←
15¢+27¢$7625/7Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 8←+27¢15¢
$7625/7
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 8
11¢+22¢$1791/2Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 8+22¢11¢
$1791/2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 8
6¢—$720/0Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 8—6¢
$720/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs10 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$108+33 new NO$726
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $346 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $18·NO $327YES Team
Total Invested
$45
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-46.8%)
Whales
9
B
Bilberry🥇hedged
Entry 86¢·20.5 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $18 · WR 60.6%
B
Bland-Dynamite🥈
Entry 15¢·77.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 70.1%
S
SonofWeather🥉
Entry 50¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 79.2%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 15¢·24.7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 59.0%
Y
yebakahedged
Entry 103¢·1.9 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.3%
M
Minsa.hedged
Entry 64¢·2 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.3%
E
Elena-2026
Entry 18¢·6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.8%
S
SoW-yiyi
Entry 18¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 84.8%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 15¢·6.1 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 57.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$333
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$14(+4.3%)
Whales
10
S
sbel🥇
Entry 86¢·187.4 shares
Invested
$161
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $161 · WR 79.4%
A
anonymous5474495🥈
Entry 84¢·151.5 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
89.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $127 · WR 89.9%
E
EVsinceborn🥉
Entry 87¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 88.2%
W
whhisky
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 70.6%
6
0x68aef4fd...
Entry 84¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 72.0%
C
c0oper
Entry 83¢·8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 67.2%
G
ghorrockhedged
Entry 83¢·5.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 57.8%
B
Bilberryhedged
Entry 22¢·20.5 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $5 · WR 60.6%
M
Minsa.hedged
Entry 14¢·2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 59.3%
Y
yebakahedged
Entry 15¢·1.9 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 58.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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