7 days left
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$4.8K
174 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 58 traders · 1 on both sides
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
5 MARKETS · $11.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026
29¢+21¢$1.9K5/5Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026+21¢29¢
$1.9K5/5
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 11 and September 15, 2026
2¢+12¢$8821/6Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 11 and September 15, 2026+12¢2¢
$8821/6
Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026←
41¢+3¢$4.8K7/9Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 16 and September 20, 2026←+3¢41¢
$4.8K7/9
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
38%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 43% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$204+15 new NO$815
$56 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $680 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $294·NO $385YES Team
Total Invested
$434
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$282(+65.0%)
Whales
6
N
nightowlnine🥇
Entry 15¢·1,840 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$334
+$334INV $282 · WR 79.4%
F
FuuUuUu🥈hedged
Entry 88¢·120 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $106 · WR 93.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 50¢·66 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $33 · WR 56.2%
W
wert4
Entry 27¢·25.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 66.8%
F
0xf9e5acab...
Entry 13¢·40 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $5 · WR 77.1%
C
Capital.hedged
Entry 8¢·5 shares·also $59 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 71.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$712
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$88(-12.4%)
Whales
10
R
rabbit007🥇
Entry 77¢·358.8 shares
Invested
$274
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $274 · WR 59.3%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 78¢·195.3 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $153 · WR 79.3%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 84¢·80 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $67 · WR 79.4%
C
Capital.hedged
Entry 90¢·65 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$59
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $59 · WR 71.4%
L
letsgoty
Entry 90¢·58.3 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $52 · WR 66.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 78¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $39 · WR 84.8%
F
FuuUuUuhedged
Entry 23¢·120 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
93.5%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $27 · WR 93.5%
K
korda77
Entry 63¢·38.3 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 85.0%
B
bitcoin.gold
Entry 50¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 85.9%
9
0x93173b86...
Entry 13¢·41.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $5 · WR 56.4%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 235ms