Tech/AI17 days left
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?
YES Price
58ยข
58% implied
NO Price
42ยข
42% implied
Volume
$2.7K
95 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 41 traders ยท 1 on both sides
Best AI model on September 21?
5 MARKETS ยท $5.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026
42ยข+4ยข$1.7K6/7Will any other model be the best AI model on September 21, 2026+4ยข42ยข
$1.7K6/7
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026โ
58ยขโ18ยข$2.7K6/9Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026โโ18ยข58ยข
$2.7K6/9
Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026
1ยข+13ยข$2831/6Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 21, 2026+13ยข1ยข
$2831/6
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs9 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars ยท 6 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 71%ยท net of hedges
+20 new YES$1.7K+22 new NO$796
$271 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers โ left out of momentum
5 smart whales7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure ยท invested basis
$1 of $645 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $640ยทNO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$107(+9.5%)
Whales
9
S
SingletonFamilyFund๐ฅ
Entry 71ยขยท666 shares
Invested
$470
Win Rate
74.3%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $470 ยท WR 74.3%
L
lightsout912๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท706 shares
Invested
$355
Win Rate
70.6%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $355 ยท WR 70.6%
B
balthazar๐ฅ
Entry 20ยขยท700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$189
+$189INV $140 ยท WR 71.8%
N
NoTeacherhedged
Entry 51ยขยท226 sharesยทalso $188 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $116 ยท WR 56.3%
S
SpringlyFawl
Entry 47ยขยท48 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $23 ยท WR 76.8%
M
molodoyy
Entry 46ยขยท40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $18 ยท WR 65.2%
W
wendywu1hedged
Entry 48ยขยท21 sharesยทalso $1 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 ยท WR 56.6%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 54ยขยท3.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 ยท WR 57.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 20ยขยท1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 ยท WR 65.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$262
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$135(-51.6%)
Whales
9
N
NoTeacher๐ฅhedged
Entry 131ยขยท144 sharesยทalso $116 on YES
Invested
$188
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-128
$-128INV $188 ยท WR 56.3%
K
korda77๐ฅ
Entry 46ยขยท49 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 ยท WR 85.0%
8
0x82e13a68...๐ฅ
Entry 50ยขยท32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $16 ยท WR 78.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 ยท WR 87.4%
S
suhail-frenz-account186
Entry 50ยขยท20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 ยท WR 85.8%
T
Tee1000
Entry 41ยขยท15 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 ยท WR 82.3%
B
beatrix99
Entry 50ยขยท10.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 ยท WR 85.7%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 46ยขยท8.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 ยท WR 65.9%
W
wendywu1hedged
Entry 50ยขยท1 sharesยทalso $10 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 ยท WR 56.6%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 138ms