YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$247
51 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 33 traders · 1 on both sides
Highest temperature in Manila on September 5?
11 MARKETS · $2.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 23°C or below on September 5
0¢+100¢$1551/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 23°C or below on September 5+100¢0¢
$1551/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on September 5
0¢+100¢$6451/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on September 5+100¢0¢
$6451/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on September 5
1¢+99¢$1591/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on September 5+99¢1¢
$1591/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 5
2¢+31¢$1961/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 5+31¢2¢
$1961/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 5
5¢+45¢$932/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 5+45¢5¢
$932/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 5
23¢+37¢$3233/2Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 5+37¢23¢
$3233/2
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5
35¢+65¢$921/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5+65¢35¢
$921/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5←
25¢+75¢$2472/0Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5←+75¢25¢
$2472/0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 5
8¢+59¢$372/1Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 5+59¢8¢
$372/1
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 17% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$73+25 new NO$211
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
4 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $100 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $17·NO $81YES Team
Total Invested
$32
Avg Win Rate
70.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-16.6%)
Whales
5
A
ab003317🥇
Entry 50¢·28 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $14 · WR 55.8%
S
SoW-yiyi🥈
Entry 27¢·37.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 86.1%
S
SonofWeather🥉
Entry 29¢·17.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 79.7%
N
nothing-to-lose
Entry 9¢·15 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 76.3%
D
DriftCapitalhedged
Entry 29¢·2.5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 55.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$96
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$6(+6.0%)
Whales
11
M
mryeth🥇
Entry 73¢·27.1 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 64.6%
O
oleksiyz🥈
Entry 73¢·22.2 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 68.5%
B
berlinskies🥉
Entry 73¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 61.7%
S
sailor82
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 71.6%
R
Ronenamar5
Entry 73¢·11.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 72.2%
B
Bilberry
Entry 73¢·8.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 61.0%
G
ghorrock
Entry 72¢·7.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $6 · WR 57.3%
X
xTriple7
Entry 73¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 62.5%
D
DriftCapitalhedged
Entry 73¢·5 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.5%
B
Bland-Dynamite
Entry 73¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 70.1%
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