YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$581
131 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 50 traders · 2 on both sides
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 5?
11 MARKETS · $5.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on September 5
0¢+50¢$3071/1Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or below on September 5+50¢0¢
$3071/1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 5
1¢+24¢$3131/3Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 5+24¢1¢
$3131/3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 5
5¢+28¢$7254/8Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 5+28¢5¢
$7254/8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 5
14¢+15¢$3752/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 5+15¢14¢
$3752/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 5
36¢+9¢$4725/6Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 5+9¢36¢
$4725/6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 5←
30¢0¢$5813/7Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 5←0¢30¢
$5813/7
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 5
13¢+31¢$1.2K4/5Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 5+31¢13¢
$1.2K4/5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 5
3¢+47¢$2332/2Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 5+47¢3¢
$2332/2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 5
1¢+99¢$1901/0Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 5+99¢1¢
$1901/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs15 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$248+26 new NO$455
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
5 smart whales15 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$12 of $217 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $19·NO $186YES Team
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$4(+15.5%)
Whales
6
E
e4s6r7.pm🥇hedged
Entry 34¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 83.7%
W
weather-alpha.con🥈
Entry 34¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $7 · WR 80.4%
G
ghorrock🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·21.7 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $6 · WR 57.3%
B
Bland-Dynamite
Entry 15¢·15 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 70.1%
E
Elena-2026
Entry 37¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 63.6%
N
nothing-to-lose
Entry 9¢·15 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 76.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$315
Avg Win Rate
72.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$46(+14.7%)
Whales
15
S
sailor82🥇
Entry 71¢·100 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $71 · WR 71.6%
M
mryeth🥈
Entry 72¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 64.6%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $40 · WR 88.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·65.1 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $33 · WR 79.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $30 · WR 71.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·41 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 79.4%
L
Liric
Entry 70¢·29 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
—
—INV $20 · WR 69.2%
X
xTriple7
Entry 73¢·21 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 62.5%
B
berlinskies
Entry 69¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 61.7%
L
luram94
Entry 70¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
—
—INV $5 · WR 64.3%
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