18 days left

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by September 30, 2026?

YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$2.0K
100 trades
Smart Whales
3
of 33 traders

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

34 MARKETS · $42.3K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs3 NO
100%
100% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$22+5 new NO$157
$11 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $180 is directional: YES $0·NO $180

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 0% YES: Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich…