Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-04 House election?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

18¢

18% implied

NO Price

82¢

82% implied

Volume

$36

3 trades

Smart Whales

2

of 5 traders

WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $287 MATCHED

Smart Money

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-04 House election←

18¢−18¢$360/1

Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-04 House election←−18¢18¢

26¢−26¢$310/1

by 0%-5%−26¢26¢

13¢−13¢$310/1

by 10%-15%−13¢13¢

38¢−38¢$310/1

by 15%-20%−38¢38¢

by 20%-25%—17¢

25¢−25¢$310/1

by 25%-30%−25¢25¢

18¢−18¢$310/1

by 30%-35%−18¢18¢

20¢−20¢$310/1

by 35% or more−20¢20¢

by 5%-10%—72¢

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

0 YESvs2 NO

100%

100% of smart money holding this market is on NO

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%

+1 new YES$0+1 new NO$8

0 smart whales1 smart whale

YES Team

Total Invested

$0

Avg Win Rate

unknown

Aggregate P&L

—

Whales

0

No smart whales on YES

NO Team

Total Invested

$31

Avg Win Rate

85.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$5(-17.0%)

Whales

2

godblessme2026🥇

Entry 99¢·23.6 shares

$-4INV $23 · WR 87.9%

Crafty-God-Drummer🥈

Entry 99¢·7.8 shares

$-1INV $8 · WR 77.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 0% YES: a Democratic Party candidate win…