S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 3?
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$4.6K
107 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 33 traders · 3 on both sides
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 3?
11 MARKETS · $16.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 53%· net of hedges
+24 new YES$2.2K+22 new NO$2.3K
$2.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
8 smart whales8 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 66% of the money is not a bet
$1.1K of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $420·NO $143YES Team
Total Invested
$960
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$693(+72.2%)
Whales
6
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 59¢·781.5 shares·also $584 on NO
Invested
$463
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$252
+$252INV $463 · WR 58.2%
E
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0🥈hedged
Entry 44¢·915.7 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$403
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
+$416
+$416INV $403 · WR 62.8%
T
TheKrysa🥉
Entry 81¢·101 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $81 · WR 58.2%
R
referralfarmerhedged
Entry 35¢·26 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $9 · WR 60.3%
6
0x67ef86ff...
Entry 61¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 64.0%
7
0x7f0cac19...
Entry 61¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 60.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$693
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$598(-86.3%)
Whales
9
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 76¢·767.3 shares·also $463 on YES
Invested
$584
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-519
$-519INV $584 · WR 58.2%
E
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0🥈hedged
Entry 68¢·100 shares·also $403 on YES
Invested
$68
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $68 · WR 62.8%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 12¢·120 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $14 · WR 55.8%
R
referralfarmerhedged
Entry 20¢·51.4 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 60.3%
G
Gurupolimarket
Entry 26¢·40 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $10 · WR 68.3%
7
0x781ae916...
Entry 42¢·4.9 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 60.0%
9
0x9bc6e207...
Entry 45¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 65.7%
C
0xc8a82e1a...
Entry 42¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.0%
4
0x46f1ac18...
Entry 78¢·1.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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