Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4?
YES Price
94¢
94% implied
NO Price
6¢
6% implied
Volume
$2.6K
220 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 85 traders · 1 on both sides
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 4?
11 MARKETS · $8.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on September 4
0¢+33¢$1962/4Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on September 4+33¢0¢
$1962/4
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 4
0¢+75¢$1773/1Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 4+75¢0¢
$1773/1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 4
0¢+50¢$1473/3Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 4+50¢0¢
$1473/3
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 4
0¢+17¢$6061/5Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 4+17¢0¢
$6061/5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 4
1¢+12¢$5461/7Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 4+12¢1¢
$5461/7
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 4
5¢+20¢$1.6K2/6Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 4+20¢5¢
$1.6K2/6
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4←
94¢−94¢$2.6K0/6Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 4←−94¢94¢
$2.6K0/6
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 4
0¢+80¢$8914/1Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 4+80¢0¢
$8914/1
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 4
0¢+100¢$6534/0Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 4+100¢0¢
$6534/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs14 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 92% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 76%· net of hedges
+31 new YES$1.3K+43 new NO$489
$252 of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $409 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $377·NO $31YES Team
Total Invested
$389
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$284(+72.9%)
Whales
9
P
princeyin02🥇
Entry 67¢·288 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
82.9%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $193 · WR 82.9%
K
kenchan5544332211🥈
Entry 81¢·115 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $93 · WR 57.3%
X
Xiaomao2006🥉
Entry 80¢·77 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $62 · WR 63.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 9¢·200 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$168
+$168INV $18 · WR 71.8%
M
moya.mm.auto
Entry 57¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $11 · WR 65.2%
T
tobeornottobee
Entry 60¢·13 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $8 · WR 60.0%
S
ShaneLin
Entry 88¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 67.2%
Y
Yaaahhh
Entry 79¢·1.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 77.4%
M
mustbethewaterhedged
Entry 9¢·7.2 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1 · WR 79.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$183
Avg Win Rate
79.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$151(-82.4%)
Whales
14
G
godblessme2026🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $40 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥈
Entry 38¢·75.5 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $28 · WR 79.5%
M
merod🥉
Entry 29¢·79.5 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $23 · WR 83.2%
Z
zoukmachine38
Entry 52¢·38.2 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $20 · WR 76.7%
P
Polite-Cooking-Participant
Entry 32¢·57.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $18 · WR 59.3%
S
suhail-frenz-account186
Entry 40¢·42.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $17 · WR 85.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 65.2%
M
mustbethewaterhedged
Entry 23¢·40 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 79.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·15.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $9 · WR 87.4%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 16¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 57.6%
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