Politics7 days left
Will Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu win the Falealili 1 by-election?
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$7.3K
327 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 106 traders
Falealili 1 By-Election Winner
7 MARKETS · $17.6K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs13 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+19 new YES$188+12 new NO$478
$98 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $503 is directional: YES $13·NO $490YES Team
Total Invested
$28
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-15.4%)
Whales
4
F
fafafaf111🥇hedged
Entry 38¢·40 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $15 · WR 88.4%
M
Mithrandir.🥈
Entry 31¢·40 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 72.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 4¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 65.8%
J
johndoedegen
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 57.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$668
Avg Win Rate
71.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$169(+25.4%)
Whales
13
E
estoicc🥇
Entry 70¢·304.3 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $213 · WR 57.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 54¢·290 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$91
+$91INV $156 · WR 88.2%
P
paddaa🥉
Entry 69¢·170.6 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $117 · WR 61.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 75¢·135 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $101 · WR 87.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 72¢·46.9 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 56.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 75¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 79.5%
7
0x7f6d3eb8...
Entry 70¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 56.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 89.3%
F
fafafaf111hedged
Entry 17¢·40 shares·also $15 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $7 · WR 88.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 68¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $7 · WR 89.5%
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