Geopolitics7 days left
Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$140
20 trades
Smart Whales
6
of 16 traders
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?
5 MARKETS · $24.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6
33¢+30¢$27710/6Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6+30¢33¢
$27710/6
Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6
43¢−10¢$2.2K5/10Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6−10¢43¢
$2.2K5/10
Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6
10¢+19¢$9.0K2/5Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 31-September 6+19¢10¢
$9.0K2/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs4 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+5 new YES$0+3 new NO$21
1 smart whale1 smart whale
YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
85.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-70.9%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$90(+167.9%)
Whales
4
S
Shallow-Diadem🥇
Entry 98¢·24 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 56.9%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 98¢·22 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $22 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 92¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 79.0%
C
C2H5O
Entry 5¢·43.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $2 · WR 61.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 2¢·24 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $0 · WR 56.9%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 8¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
79.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 79.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 2¢·22 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $0 · WR 88.2%
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