YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$1.4K
110 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 46 traders
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide August 31 - September 6?
7 MARKETS · $10.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
94¢−44¢$6.8K7/7Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide−44¢94¢
$6.8K7/7
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←
6¢+14¢$1.4K2/8Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide←+14¢6¢
$1.4K2/8
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+32¢$1.2K2/4Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+32¢1¢
$1.2K2/4
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
1¢+16¢$3721/5Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+16¢1¢
$3721/5
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide
0¢+17¢$2971/5Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide+17¢0¢
$2971/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$53+16 new NO$427
$33 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $383 is directional: YES $113·NO $269YES Team
Total Invested
$113
Avg Win Rate
71.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$65(-57.5%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$377
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$138(+36.6%)
Whales
11
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 78¢·280 shares
Invested
$218
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $218 · WR 58.4%
S
Slimy-Dawn🥈
Entry 68¢·74.9 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $51 · WR 60.7%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $40 · WR 87.4%
M
merod
Entry 89¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $27 · WR 83.2%
G
god83743894
Entry 89¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 84.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 88.2%
S
ssecondooption
Entry 14¢·20 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $3 · WR 59.8%
T
TemuOracle
Entry 31¢·4.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 81.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·2.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 79.5%
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