Geopolitics24 days left
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?
YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$2.4K
139 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 73 traders
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
7 MARKETS · $13.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30
3¢+35¢$2983/5Will there be 30 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30+35¢3¢
$2983/5
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30
38¢−5¢$3.1K7/14Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30−5¢38¢
$3.1K7/14
Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30
6¢+48¢$2.8K7/6Will there be between 10 and 15 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30+48¢6¢
$2.8K7/6
Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30
4¢+26¢$7373/7Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30+26¢4¢
$7373/7
Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30
2¢−2¢$2900/5Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30−2¢2¢
$2900/5
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs9 NO
47%53%
53% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 82%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$146+3 new NO$53
$52 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $444 is directional: YES $167·NO $277YES Team
Total Invested
$167
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$237(+141.6%)
Whales
8
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 14¢·700 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$236
+$236INV $100 · WR 71.8%
J
JasonPunos🥈
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
74.7%
Position P&L
—
—INV $48 · WR 74.7%
F
fi5h🥉
Entry 41¢·22 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 61.8%
U
udowla
Entry 50¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 65.2%
R
ricerea
Entry 50¢·5.4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 77.8%
K
kevin101
Entry 50¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 68.8%
D
dayuzhishui
Entry 50¢·2.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.0%
S
shumon
Entry 50¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 63.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$353
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$64(-18.2%)
Whales
9
H
hymolu🥇
Entry 67¢·400 shares
Invested
$268
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $268 · WR 80.0%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 55¢·97.9 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $54 · WR 84.8%
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥉
Entry 55¢·30 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $16 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 87.4%
S
shenghua
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 57.9%
G
ganmum
Entry 51¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 66.7%
S
shuzichen
Entry 51¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 73.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 56¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 88.2%
B
bunkereay
Entry 51¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.0%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 152ms