108 days left
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
56¢
56% implied
NO Price
44¢
44% implied
Volume
$11.6K
466 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 107 traders · 1 on both sides
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?
5 MARKETS · $29.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs8 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 61% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 69%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$249+10 new NO$369
$297 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 27% of the money is not a bet
$132 of $487 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $215·NO $140YES Team
Total Invested
$532
Avg Win Rate
69.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$105(+19.7%)
Whales
10
I
iutwpfal🥇hedged
Entry 27¢·819.1 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$220
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$235
+$235INV $220 · WR 74.6%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 1015¢·17.9 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$181
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $181 · WR 65.2%
H
hithitfar🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·88.2 shares·also $22 on NO
Invested
$65
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $65 · WR 58.7%
S
SingletonFamilyFund
Entry 25¢·179 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $45 · WR 72.7%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 72.6%
X
xwz520hedged
Entry 59¢·5 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 78.3%
Y
yueyueyn
Entry 57¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $3 · WR 63.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 28¢·6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 69.6%
P
piggyramen
Entry 27¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 55.6%
B
0xbadaf319...
Entry 32¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 67.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$306
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$80(-26.0%)
Whales
8
N
NoTeacher🥇
Entry 46¢·210.9 shares
Invested
$98
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $98 · WR 56.8%
M
molodoyy🥈hedged
Entry 418¢·17.9 shares·also $181 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-67
$-67INV $75 · WR 65.2%
I
iutwpfal🥉hedged
Entry 59¢·111.6 shares·also $220 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $66 · WR 74.6%
S
SteviaDaddy
Entry 56¢·70.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $39 · WR 60.3%
H
hithitfarhedged
Entry 25¢·88.2 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$22
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $22 · WR 58.7%
X
xwz520hedged
Entry 77¢·5 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 78.3%
W
wert4
Entry 76¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 66.6%
D
dinfo2026
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 62.2%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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