Geopolitics82 days left
Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$1.9K
114 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 44 traders
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
16 MARKETS · $77.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$4+4 new NO$43
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $250 is directional: YES $0·NO $250YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
55.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$9(-71.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$275
Avg Win Rate
65.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+10.9%)
Whales
8
M
Mst-br🥇
Entry 89¢·120 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
75.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $107 · WR 75.2%
K
Konfucious🥈
Entry 89¢·100 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $89 · WR 62.0%
B
BAO95889🥉
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 57.0%
P
PadreMaronno◆Proven
Entry 91¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 56.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 90¢·23.6 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $21 · WR 57.7%
C
Car
Entry 8¢·20.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $2 · WR 64.9%
B
big-bird1
Entry 50¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 68.8%
5
0x54498e4c...hedged
Entry 5¢·12.2 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $1 · WR 55.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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