Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$10.1K
79 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 40 traders
South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: Runoff Margin of Victory
12 MARKETS · $215.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs14 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+19 new YES$21+26 new NO$8.2K
4 smart whales18 smart whales
YES Team40 traders
Total Invested
$25
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$2(-8.7%)
Whales
9
M
Mysaria🥇
Entry 8¢·101.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 89.3%
V
vitalik-butterplug🥈
Entry 8¢·70 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 85.7%
N
ndb1🥉
Entry 0¢·4,699.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $5 · WR 76.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 8¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 79.2%
Z
zoukmachine38
Entry 8¢·28.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 78.0%
A
Admirable-Trust
Entry 8¢·27 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 87.3%
M
melonmanm
Entry 0¢·39.5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 70.9%
J
JusduA
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 83.9%
NO Team40 traders
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
57.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$7.1K(+132.9%)
Whales
14
P
probability🥇
Entry 100¢·5,124.1 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5.1K · WR 57.2%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥈
Entry 100¢·61.7 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $62 · WR 56.5%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $40 · WR 88.2%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 100¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $26 · WR 56.6%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 100¢·20.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 56.7%
J
JusduA
Entry 95¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 83.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 100¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 56.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 85.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 84.5%
B
bernardbulletin
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 68.7%
Showing top 10 of 14
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 198ms