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Politics85 days left

Will Alia Hyacinth Iormem win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
58¢
58% implied
NO Price
42¢
42% implied
Volume
$11.7K
226 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 123 traders

Benue, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

6 MARKETS · $18.2K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs6 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 58¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 58¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 39% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 21h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $930 is directional: YES $366·NO $564
YES Team
Total Invested
$474
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-0.9%)
Whales
3
F
FrozenParasite🥇
Entry 60¢·600 shares
$-12INV $360 · WR 62.6%
S
SnapElectionAvoiderProven🥈
Entry 54¢·199.7 shares
+$8INV $108 · WR 61.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉
Entry 59¢·10 shares
$-0INV $6 · WR 68.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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