Geopolitics7 days left
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?
YES Price
55¢
55% implied
NO Price
45¢
45% implied
Volume
$7.6K
367 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 153 traders
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
4 MARKETS · $33.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026←
55¢−13¢$7.6K8/11Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026←−13¢55¢
$7.6K8/11
Will there be exactly 4 North Korea tests in August 2026
29¢+14¢$7593/4Will there be exactly 4 North Korea tests in August 2026+14¢29¢
$7593/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs24 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money is betting YES on this market
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 54%
+65 new YES$2.4K+62 new NO$2.0K
20 smart whales17 smart whales
YES Team143 traders
Total Invested
$541
Avg Win Rate
61.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-6.5%)
Whales
24
H
HeDidWearASuit🥇
Entry 59¢·469.7 shares
Invested
$276
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $276 · WR 57.1%
E
estoicc🥈
Entry 56¢·121.4 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $68 · WR 57.5%
D
deuce1🥉
Entry 54¢·92.6 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 80.0%
S
SickandTired
Entry 64¢·68.8 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
73.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $44 · WR 73.0%
C
crazytestguy
Entry 59¢·42.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 60.0%
F
0xf453ae1b...
Entry 57¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
58.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 58.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 53¢·27.5 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 56.5%
3
0x34dfaf54...
Entry 66¢·12.1 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 55.7%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 56.6%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 54¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 56.5%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team143 traders
Total Invested
$137
Avg Win Rate
75.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.4%)
Whales
24
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 54¢·52 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $28 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 46¢·52 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $24 · WR 79.2%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 55¢·24 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 84.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 45¢·24 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $11 · WR 84.5%
T
tminus
Entry 45¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 59.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 54¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 85.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 46¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.3%
6
0x673d29c8...
Entry 35¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 72.2%
A
0xab63f7ac...
Entry 35¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 60.0%
B
0xbe6ca091...
Entry 35¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 10 of 24
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 216ms