Politics13 days left
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election?
YES Price
93¢
93% implied
NO Price
7¢
7% implied
Volume
$10.9K
364 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 127 traders
Calgary-Shaw Provincial By-Election Winner
4 MARKETS · $16.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will John Roggeveen win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election
0¢+13¢$7101/7Will John Roggeveen win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election+13¢0¢
$7101/7
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election
7¢+8¢$4.4K2/11Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election+8¢7¢
$4.4K2/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs17 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%
+9 new YES$1.4K+25 new NO$197
5 smart whales7 smart whales
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$835(+34.3%)
Whales
12
T
TireLatest🥇
Entry 59¢·1,513.2 shares
Invested
$894
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$506
+$506INV $894 · WR 70.0%
M
mrworldwide🥈
Entry 86¢·925.5 shares
Invested
$794
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $794 · WR 75.9%
G
gum123🥉
Entry 84¢·290 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $243 · WR 70.3%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 90¢·258 shares
Invested
$232
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $232 · WR 57.0%
0
0x0b818c8b...
Entry 31¢·320.6 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$197
+$197INV $100 · WR 77.8%
U
Unwelcome-Disadvantage
Entry 91¢·100 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $91 · WR 92.2%
0
0x0b818c8b...
Entry 65¢·80 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $52 · WR 77.8%
F
fgfkjytyjt
Entry 41¢·31.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $13 · WR 57.4%
B
big-bird1
Entry 90¢·10.4 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 68.2%
P
Pilagi
Entry 78¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 66.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$746
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$509(-68.2%)
Whales
17
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 85¢·280.8 shares
Invested
$239
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-218
$-218INV $239 · WR 87.9%
F
fgdhdghrthr🥈
Entry 100¢·86.7 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $87 · WR 61.0%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 80¢·90 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $72 · WR 79.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 15¢·280.8 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $42 · WR 87.9%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 38¢·111 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $42 · WR 57.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 84¢·40 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $34 · WR 89.6%
M
macrosteaks
Entry 10¢·200 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 59.9%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 20¢·90 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $18 · WR 79.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 14¢·120.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 79.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 12¢·125 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $15 · WR 85.4%
Showing top 10 of 17
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