13 days left

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

4¢

4% implied

NO Price

96¢

96% implied

Volume

$1.8K

100 trades

Smart Whales

12

of 45 traders

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

4 MARKETS · $13.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes

8¢+7¢$1.1K2/11

Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes+7¢8¢

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes

36¢−13¢$3.9K3/10

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes−13¢36¢

Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes

52¢−29¢$6.7K3/10

Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes−29¢52¢

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes←

4¢+4¢$1.8K1/11

Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes←+4¢4¢

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Smart Money Consensus

1 YESvs11 NO

8%92%

92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%

+2 new YES$1+1 new NO$5

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $455 is directional: YES $14·NO $441

YES Team

Total Invested

$14

Avg Win Rate

73.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$2(+11.8%)

Whales

1

Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥇

Entry 3¢·423.7 shares

+$2INV $14 · WR 73.2%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.3K

Avg Win Rate

69.2%

Aggregate P&L

+$854(+66.0%)

Whales

11

Entry 90¢·484 shares

+$29INV $436 · WR 67.7%

Entry 50¢·748 shares

+$348INV $374 · WR 56.8%

JustClickeverywhere🥉

Entry 50¢·519.3 shares

+$241INV $260 · WR 79.5%

Entry 50¢·137 shares

+$64INV $69 · WR 71.8%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$37INV $40 · WR 88.2%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$37INV $40 · WR 84.9%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$37INV $40 · WR 85.6%

Entry 50¢·40.1 shares

+$19INV $20 · WR 79.5%

Entry 89¢·10 shares

+$1INV $9 · WR 89.3%

Entry 99¢·5 shares

$-0INV $5 · WR 68.6%

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Smart money 8% YES: Grüne win less than 3% of all valid…