Politics9 days left
Will Pascale Marchand win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$501
48 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 25 traders
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek Provincial By-Election Winner
6 MARKETS · $29.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+3 new YES$0+8 new NO$254
0 smart whales8 smart whales
YES Team25 traders
Total Invested
$19
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-94.5%)
Whales
5
Y
YouSayUpISayDown🥇
Entry 8¢·100 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 58.4%
C
0xc29ecedb...🥈
Entry 12¢·58.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 72.1%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 71.6%
A
Anon321321
Entry 2¢·33 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 2¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.9%
NO Team25 traders
Total Invested
$382
Avg Win Rate
84.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$309(+81.0%)
Whales
12
M
Mysaria🥇
Entry 100¢·80.9 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $81 · WR 89.3%
A
Admirable-Trust🥈
Entry 99¢·54.8 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $54 · WR 88.7%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 100¢·52.8 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $53 · WR 78.5%
V
vitalik-butterplug
Entry 100¢·47.6 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $48 · WR 85.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 85.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 89.4%
T
TheOne777
Entry 96¢·37.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $36 · WR 76.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·15.8 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $16 · WR 79.2%
C
c0820
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 87.7%
D
0xd7e3da53...
Entry 98¢·4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 68.0%
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