Politics3 days left

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

5¢

5% implied

NO Price

95¢

95% implied

Volume

$4.7K

305 trades

Smart Whales

20

of 93 traders

Michigan Senate Election: Turnout

9 MARKETS · $43.5K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more

33¢−12¢$13.5K5/19

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more−12¢33¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000

4¢+9¢$1.3K2/13

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000+9¢4¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000←

5¢+15¢$4.7K4/16

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000←+15¢5¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000

27¢−5¢$6.6K4/14

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000−5¢27¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000

7¢−1¢$6.4K1/16

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000−1¢7¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000

18¢+2¢$1.8K3/12

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,000,000 and 5,200,000+2¢18¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,200,000 and 5,400,000

11¢−4¢$4.4K1/14

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,200,000 and 5,400,000−4¢11¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000

15¢−4¢$3.2K2/16

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 5,400,000 and 5,600,000−4¢15¢

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be less than 4,200,000

9¢−2¢$1.6K1/13

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be less than 4,200,000−2¢9¢

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs16 NO

20%80%

80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 21% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $33 is directional: YES $7·NO $26

YES Team

Total Invested

$403

Avg Win Rate

64.9%

Aggregate P&L

-$378(-93.8%)

Whales

4

EsperanzasDESTROYER🥇hedged

Entry 88¢·432.1 shares·also $138 on NO

$-361INV $380 · WR 64.6%

garbagecollect4🥈hedged

Entry 80¢·20 shares·also $4 on NO

$-15INV $16 · WR 68.7%

Entry 13¢·41 shares

$-1INV $6 · WR 74.7%

Entry 8¢·15 shares

$-1INV $1 · WR 65.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$659

Avg Win Rate

79.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$530(+80.3%)

Whales

16

qwen300.fund🥇

Entry 49¢·300 shares

+$140INV $147 · WR 86.0%

EsperanzasDESTROYER🥈hedged

Entry 38¢·360.9 shares·also $380 on YES

+$206INV $138 · WR 64.6%

Entry 69¢·117 shares

+$31INV $81 · WR 79.3%

Entry 84¢·83 shares

+$9INV $70 · WR 88.8%

Entry 72¢·67 shares

+$16INV $48 · WR 88.6%

Entry 54¢·86 shares

+$35INV $47 · WR 85.9%

Entry 50¢·80 shares

+$36INV $40 · WR 86.6%

Entry 81¢·32.1 shares

+$5INV $26 · WR 56.2%

All-Decrease-Harvest

Entry 50¢·24 shares

+$11INV $12 · WR 80.7%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$9INV $10 · WR 66.5%

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Smart money 20% YES: total votes cast in the 2026 midterm…