Tech/AI120 days left
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026?
YES Price
11¢
11% implied
NO Price
89¢
89% implied
Volume
$6.7K
273 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 88 traders
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?
5 MARKETS · $19.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs9 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money is betting NO on this market
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%
+18 new YES$290+6 new NO$1.2K
1 smart whale1 smart whale
YES Team
Total Invested
$433
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$301(-69.6%)
Whales
4
T
TireLatest🥇
Entry 24¢·1,174.5 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-170
$-170INV $282 · WR 68.9%
V
vinii🥈
Entry 82¢·140.6 shares
Invested
$115
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $115 · WR 65.4%
B
0xbadaf319...🥉
Entry 86¢·39.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $34 · WR 67.1%
T
trrr12
Entry 86¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 62.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$453(+42.5%)
Whales
9
K
KiruaTrading🥇
Entry 73¢·970.2 shares
Invested
$705
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$173
+$173INV $705 · WR 58.2%
S
SteviaDaddy🥈
Entry 65¢·253.5 shares
Invested
$164
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $164 · WR 62.1%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 38¢·140.6 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $54 · WR 65.4%
P
parameter1
Entry 69¢·65 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $45 · WR 60.9%
K
KimchiCapital
Entry 70¢·60 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $42 · WR 79.7%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 26¢·108.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $28 · WR 57.6%
M
Mustafalafel
Entry 72¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 63.5%
B
0xbadaf319...
Entry 30¢·39.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $12 · WR 67.1%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 4¢·26.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $1 · WR 57.6%
T
trrr12
Entry 26¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 62.5%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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