Politics28 days left
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
YES Price
39¢
39% implied
NO Price
61¢
61% implied
Volume
$5.9K
453 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 105 traders
Sergipe Senate Election: 2nd Place
13 MARKETS · $23.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs21 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 31% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 100%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$18+1 new NO$7
$13 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3 is directional: YES $1·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$137
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$61(-44.3%)
Whales
4
C
catalanpaths🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·153.1 shares·also $52 on NO
Invested
$129
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $129 · WR 67.8%
E
0xe7e98d51...🥈hedged
Entry 66¢·7.2 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 59.9%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 3¢·35 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1 · WR 79.5%
Showing top 3 of 4
NO Team
Total Invested
$633
Avg Win Rate
78.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$80(+12.7%)
Whales
21
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·400 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $200 · WR 71.8%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 55¢·208 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
85.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $113 · WR 85.6%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 70¢·122.7 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $86 · WR 87.8%
C
catalanpathshedged
Entry 33¢·158.2 shares·also $129 on YES
Invested
$52
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $52 · WR 67.8%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 81¢·62 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $50 · WR 88.2%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 83¢·32.2 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $27 · WR 79.6%
S
suhail-frenz-account187
Entry 58¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 85.8%
2
0x24906198...
Entry 50¢·30.3 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 75.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·16 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 79.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 21
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