Politics28 days left
Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$11.8K
506 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 134 traders
Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place
14 MARKETS · $39.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs20 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$85+6 new NO$472
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $93 is directional: YES $74·NO $18YES Team
Total Invested
$781
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$93(+11.8%)
Whales
6
C
ColomboHex🥇
Entry 37¢·1,316.8 shares
Invested
$490
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $490 · WR 67.8%
S
Subdued-Pasta🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·238 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$212
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $212 · WR 86.0%
J
jjmcormickk🥉
Entry 49¢·93.5 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $45 · WR 65.6%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 46¢·40 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 74.4%
W
walkwithyourboy
Entry 33¢·31.2 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 57.9%
M
maomao228
Entry 30¢·18.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $6 · WR 64.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$624
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$30(+4.8%)
Whales
20
S
suhail-frenz-account187🥇
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $90 · WR 85.8%
S
Subdued-Pasta🥈hedged
Entry 34¢·240.5 shares·also $212 on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$38
+$38INV $81 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 62¢·100 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $62 · WR 79.5%
N
northdrawer
Entry 55¢·110.1 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $60 · WR 87.4%
D
donthackme
Entry 50¢·110 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $55 · WR 87.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 62¢·80 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $50 · WR 88.9%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 62¢·65.5 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $41 · WR 79.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·78.8 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $39 · WR 79.5%
6
0x632579c2...
Entry 64¢·49.6 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $32 · WR 81.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 84.8%
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