Politics28 days left
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
YES Price
33¢
33% implied
NO Price
67¢
67% implied
Volume
$7.4K
381 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 116 traders
Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place
16 MARKETS · $27.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs16 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$10+4 new NO$34
$10 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $23 is directional: YES $19·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$185
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$96(-52.1%)
Whales
3
0
0x0b818c8b...🥇hedged
Entry 72¢·232.2 shares·also $180 on NO
Invested
$166
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $166 · WR 65.5%
S
Secondary-Procedure🥈
Entry 49¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 56.3%
P
perpcode0072nell🥉
Entry 42¢·21 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $9 · WR 69.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$564
Avg Win Rate
77.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$105(+18.6%)
Whales
16
0
0x0b818c8b...🥇hedged
Entry 63¢·286.4 shares·also $166 on YES
Invested
$180
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $180 · WR 65.5%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 50¢·169.9 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $85 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 68¢·69.7 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $48 · WR 87.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $40 · WR 88.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $39 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $30 · WR 79.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 80¢·31.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $25 · WR 87.8%
1
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243
Entry 50¢·41 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $21 · WR 57.7%
S
SpringlyFawl
Entry 83¢·24 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
76.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 76.5%
7
0x75fc9e02...
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $18 · WR 80.5%
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