Politics3 days left
Will Marília Arraes win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$18.5K
615 trades
Smart Whales
24
of 142 traders
Pernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
12 MARKETS · $36.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs16 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 27% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 59%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$72+7 new NO$54
$24 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $178 is directional: YES $49·NO $129YES Team
Total Invested
$111
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$506(+454.9%)
Whales
8
F
fafafaf111🥇hedged
Entry 55¢·86.3 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $47 · WR 87.8%
P
PachaKutiq🥈
Entry 77¢·30 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $23 · WR 62.3%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 3¢·700 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$476
+$476INV $18 · WR 72.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 37¢·25 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$9
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $9 · WR 55.4%
N
NIKKO
Entry 73¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 62.1%
B
beatrix99
Entry 76¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $4 · WR 84.8%
C
ceasal
Entry 56¢·6.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $4 · WR 75.7%
H
huiegj
Entry 12¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $2 · WR 82.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$332
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-7.8%)
Whales
16
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 31¢·315.8 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $97 · WR 63.4%
M
merod🥈
Entry 30¢·236 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
83.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $71 · WR 83.6%
F
fafafaf111🥉hedged
Entry 71¢·68.3 shares·also $47 on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $49 · WR 87.8%
H
HibernatingParasite
Entry 16¢·143.4 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $23 · WR 55.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 26¢·80 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $21 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 38¢·40 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 85.5%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 49¢·25 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $12 · WR 55.4%
L
Lucerys
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 86.9%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 85.8%
A
Anon321321
Entry 34¢·24 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 86.3%
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