Politics28 days left
Will Capitão Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$14.0K
581 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 142 traders
Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place
10 MARKETS · $35.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 66%
+2 new YES$17+2 new NO$33
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $429 is directional: YES $17·NO $412YES Team
Total Invested
$58
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-42.5%)
Whales
4
0
0x0b818c8b...🥇hedged
Entry 59¢·69.4 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$41
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $41 · WR 65.5%
C
ColomboHex🥈
Entry 40¢·41 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 67.8%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 3¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 84.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 3¢·0.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 89.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$631
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$198(+31.3%)
Whales
15
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 59¢·565.2 shares
Invested
$331
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$76
+$76INV $331 · WR 61.5%
R
runechiters🥈
Entry 58¢·100 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $58 · WR 60.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 55¢·92.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $51 · WR 79.5%
P
PollyForge
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $40 · WR 84.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·58.2 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 79.5%
0
0x0b818c8b...hedged
Entry 36¢·69.4 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $25 · WR 65.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere
Entry 50¢·33 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $16 · WR 79.6%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 66¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
74.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 74.4%
S
Shy-Note
Entry 39¢·28 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 59.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 51¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 87.8%
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