Politics29 days left
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
YES Price
77¢
77% implied
NO Price
23¢
23% implied
Volume
$11.4K
342 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 111 traders
Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place
10 MARKETS · $26.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs13 NO
44%57%
57% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 84%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$2.9K+3 new NO$550
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
2 smart whales0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.5K is directional: YES $3.5K·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$3.6K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$35(-1.0%)
Whales
10
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥇
Entry 82¢·2,813 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-141
$-141INV $2.3K · WR 57.0%
P
Prinas🥈
Entry 80¢·600 shares
Invested
$480
Win Rate
81.0%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $480 · WR 81.0%
T
TireLatest🥉
Entry 76¢·400.1 shares
Invested
$303
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $303 · WR 68.6%
D
Dental-Obsidian
Entry 75¢·202.7 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $152 · WR 58.1%
U
Unfolded-Psychology
Entry 81¢·186.6 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
75.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $151 · WR 75.6%
R
Rr55
Entry 79¢·100 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $79 · WR 73.8%
B
burakrum
Entry 82¢·57.1 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 73.4%
M
maomao228
Entry 46¢·80 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $37 · WR 65.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 82¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 68.5%
W
wvsfsafasd
Entry 38¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 55.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$402
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$127(-31.5%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 43¢·300.2 shares
Invested
$128
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $128 · WR 71.8%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 40¢·282 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
89.5%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $112 · WR 89.5%
J
JustClickeverywhere🥉
Entry 33¢·92.8 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $30 · WR 79.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 20¢·120 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $24 · WR 88.2%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 48¢·42.7 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $21 · WR 79.4%
R
runechiters
Entry 20¢·100 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $20 · WR 60.2%
M
merod
Entry 18¢·94 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $17 · WR 83.2%
6
0x632579c2...
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $16 · WR 82.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 24¢·40 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 87.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 21¢·38 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $8 · WR 88.9%
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