Politics4 days left
Will Arthur Lira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
YES Price
22¢
22% implied
NO Price
78¢
78% implied
Volume
$7.0K
296 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 100 traders
Alagoas Senate Election: 2nd Place
7 MARKETS · $29.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs15 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+1 new YES$15+8 new NO$193
$29 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $26 is directional: YES $19·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$163
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$138(+84.5%)
Whales
3
I
InterestingUser🥇hedged
Entry 41¢·346.8 shares·also $120 on NO
Invested
$142
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $142 · WR 64.7%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 3¢·635.7 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$207
+$207INV $19 · WR 72.0%
W
wAiq-A.S🥉hedged
Entry 66¢·3.4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 70.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$581
Avg Win Rate
79.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$331(+56.9%)
Whales
15
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 48¢·268.4 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $130 · WR 79.4%
I
InterestingUser🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·200 shares·also $142 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $120 · WR 64.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 58¢·180 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $105 · WR 89.0%
L
Lucerys
Entry 51¢·124.7 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $63 · WR 86.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $40 · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·68.2 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $34 · WR 68.8%
T
Thorny-Parachute-Philanthropy
Entry 61¢·32 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
83.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 83.5%
K
korda77
Entry 31¢·50 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $16 · WR 85.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·30 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $15 · WR 89.3%
G
glm404.fund
Entry 47¢·30 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $14 · WR 85.8%
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