Politics10 days left
Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
YES Price
41¢
41% implied
NO Price
59¢
59% implied
Volume
$12.2K
392 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 127 traders
Alagoas Senate Election: 1st Place
7 MARKETS · $23.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs13 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $604 is directional: YES $404·NO $199YES Team
Total Invested
$421
Avg Win Rate
70.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$249(+59.1%)
Whales
7
I
InterestingUser🥇
Entry 41¢·426.9 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
64.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $173 · WR 64.5%
P
Prinas🥈
Entry 44¢·329.3 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $145 · WR 80.6%
J
JAMJAMJAM4🥉
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $48 · WR 55.3%
B
balthazar
Entry 3¢·700 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$266
+$266INV $21 · WR 72.0%
T
tuterwhedged
Entry 42¢·40 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $17 · WR 82.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 45¢·34.4 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 68.7%
M
matjones21
Entry 46¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 67.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$468
Avg Win Rate
78.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$59(+12.6%)
Whales
13
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER🥇
Entry 53¢·251.7 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $133 · WR 69.5%
H
highstake.trade🥈
Entry 50¢·141.6 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $71 · WR 85.8%
M
Mithrandir.🥉
Entry 66¢·100 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $66 · WR 71.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 62¢·95 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $59 · WR 79.4%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·100.7 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $50 · WR 88.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·48 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $24 · WR 85.4%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $18 · WR 87.5%
B
Brisk-Rod-Patentee
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $16 · WR 78.5%
T
tuterwhedged
Entry 71¢·20 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
82.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $14 · WR 82.3%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 47¢·20 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $9 · WR 89.3%
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