Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$21.8K
762 trades
Smart Whales
56
of 196 traders
Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner
9 MARKETS · $59.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs43 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$75+3 new NO$131
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
68.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$581(-40.8%)
Whales
13
R
Ryxon21🥇
Entry 24¢·3,716.7 shares
Invested
$883
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-381
$-381INV $883 · WR 71.2%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈
Entry 22¢·1,127.6 shares
Invested
$246
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $246 · WR 66.8%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 95¢·140 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$132
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $132 · WR 55.2%
R
Rr55◆Proven
Entry 19¢·225 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $43 · WR 73.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 19¢·70.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $13 · WR 68.4%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 46¢·6.9 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 60.7%
S
Spectrum◆Proven
Entry 11¢·15 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 60.9%
P
Pretty-Seaplane
Entry 50¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 63.1%
L
luciebot
Entry 0¢·100 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $0 · WR 82.8%
Showing top 9 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
77.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.0K(+28.9%)
Whales
43
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 71¢·1,889.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$280
+$280INV $1.3K · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 56¢·2,034 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$606
+$606INV $1.1K · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 72¢·1,536.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $1.1K · WR 87.6%
C
CAQZeroSeats◆Proven
Entry 73¢·1,043.3 shares
Invested
$766
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $766 · WR 63.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 51¢·1,436.5 shares
Invested
$740
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$496
+$496INV $740 · WR 79.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 78¢·175 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $136 · WR 88.2%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 53¢·234.6 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $125 · WR 59.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 77¢·160 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $123 · WR 86.0%
D
Dearest-Cowbell-Crunch
Entry 89¢·134.2 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
76.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $120 · WR 76.7%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 85¢·138.1 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $117 · WR 59.7%
Showing top 10 of 43
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