Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

8¢

8% implied

NO Price

92¢

92% implied

Volume

$10.5K

254 trades

Smart Whales

9

of 75 traders

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

5 MARKETS · $66.7K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480

69¢−30¢$18.3K7/11

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480−30¢69¢

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490

35¢+1¢$21.2K8/14

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490+1¢35¢

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500

21¢+11¢$16.1K7/15

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500+11¢21¢

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510←

8¢+25¢$10.5K3/6

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510←+25¢8¢

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520

2¢+48¢$5414/4

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520+48¢2¢

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Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs6 NO

33%67%

67% of smart money is betting NO on this market

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%

+3 new YES$6+2 new NO$73

0 smart whales1 smart whale

YES Team

Total Invested

$95

Avg Win Rate

64.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$85(-89.5%)

Whales

3

Entry 110¢·50 shares

$-51INV $55 · WR 69.9%

Entry 90¢·42 shares

$-34INV $38 · WR 56.4%

Entry 7¢·34.9 shares

+$0INV $3 · WR 65.4%

NO Team

Total Invested

$592

Avg Win Rate

59.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$187(+31.5%)

Whales

6

Entry 91¢·282.6 shares

+$3INV $258 · WR 55.1%

Mustafalafel🥈

Entry 90¢·204.7 shares

+$5INV $184 · WR 63.5%

Entry 92¢·131.9 shares

+$1INV $121 · WR 60.9%

Entry 82¢·14.3 shares

+$1INV $12 · WR 57.6%

Entry 7¢·112 shares

+$96INV $7 · WR 56.4%

Entry 8¢·95 shares

+$80INV $7 · WR 57.6%

Entry 92¢·2.4 shares

—INV $2 · WR 68.3%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 21% YES: OpenAI’s Astra model debut…