Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-13 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$8.7K
283 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 95 traders · 1 on both sides
TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $29.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 2¢
YES 20%NO 80%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 2¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0 YES vs 0 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 100% of the money is not a bet
$9 of $9 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$95
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$92(-97.1%)
Whales
3
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥇hedged
Entry 177¢·40 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$71
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $71 · WR 65.9%
A
Anjun◆Proven🥈
Entry 24¢·79.9 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.4%
R
RayGuy🥉hedged
Entry 8¢·57 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 55.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$223
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$210(+93.8%)
Whales
12
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 68¢·98.2 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $67 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 62¢·63.7 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $40 · WR 87.7%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency🥉hedged
Entry 75¢·40 shares·also $71 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $30 · WR 65.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·33.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $23 · WR 79.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 68¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $20 · WR 88.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 66¢·26 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $17 · WR 89.0%
L
Late-Squirrel-Mecca
Entry 74¢·15.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $12 · WR 72.8%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 66.8%
R
RayGuyhedged
Entry 98¢·4.1 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.9%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 67¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 86.6%
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