Politics4 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-23 House election by 12% or more?

Trade on Polymarket

YES Price

12¢

12% implied

NO Price

88¢

88% implied

Volume

$3.9K

217 trades

Smart Whales

13

of 59 traders

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $26.7K MATCHED

Hover a row for the full Polymarket title

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs10 NO

23%77%

77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges

+8 new YES$26+7 new NO$231

$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $46 is directional: YES $46·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$47

Avg Win Rate

74.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$1(+2.5%)

Whales

3

Entry 11¢·382 shares

+$2INV $43 · WR 74.7%

Entry 15¢·20 shares

$-1INV $3 · WR 69.9%

cloverpmq2🥉hedged

Entry 11¢·8 shares·also $5 on NO

+$0INV $1 · WR 56.6%

NO Team

Total Invested

$286

Avg Win Rate

81.4%

Aggregate P&L

+$77(+27.0%)

Whales

10

mustbethewater🥇

Entry 87¢·96.1 shares

+$1INV $84 · WR 79.6%

plainfolder🥈

Entry 80¢·80 shares

+$6INV $64 · WR 86.1%

melchior1248🥉

Entry 90¢·40 shares

$-1INV $36 · WR 69.7%

Entry 50¢·58.8 shares

+$22INV $29 · WR 87.6%

Entry 42¢·66.9 shares

+$31INV $28 · WR 86.0%

Entry 94¢·14 shares

$-1INV $13 · WR 85.9%

Entry 89¢·12.8 shares

$-0INV $11 · WR 84.5%

Entry 40¢·25 shares

+$12INV $10 · WR 86.0%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$4INV $5 · WR 66.5%

cloverpmq2hedged

Entry 59¢·8 shares·also $1 on YES

+$2INV $5 · WR 56.6%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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