Politics14 days left
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-02 House election by 10%-15%?
YES Price
32¢
32% implied
NO Price
68¢
68% implied
Volume
$3.6K
257 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 68 traders
TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs6 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$12
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-45.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$127
Avg Win Rate
78.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$16(+12.9%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 63¢·60 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $38 · WR 72.1%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 68¢·50 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $34 · WR 88.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 63¢·51.2 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $32 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 85.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $10 · WR 66.7%
C
cloverpmq2hedged
Entry 30¢·9.9 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 · WR 59.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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