Politics13 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-34 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$1.7K
78 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 44 traders
TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $16.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs6 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$318+19 new NO$649
$452 of this was bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$8
Avg Win Rate
70.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$5(+71.5%)
Whales
4
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 10¢·28.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
74.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $3 · WR 74.9%
R
RandyHickey🥈hedged
Entry 25¢·10 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 55.0%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 8¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 5¢·3.2 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$151
Avg Win Rate
73.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$79(+52.3%)
Whales
6
M
melchior1248🥇
Entry 50¢·179.8 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $90 · WR 69.4%
M
Moral-Stamp🥈
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $18 · WR 84.3%
L
Lustrous-Cyclooxygenase-Output🥉
Entry 83¢·17.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 83.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·24 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $12 · WR 86.1%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $9 · WR 81.5%
R
RandyHickeyhedged
Entry 77¢·10 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 55.0%
Smart Whale Trades
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