Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
88¢
88% implied
NO Price
12¢
12% implied
Volume
$2.9K
115 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 60 traders
TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $43.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs15 NO
21%79%
79% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $43 is directional: YES $43·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$51
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$128(+251.0%)
Whales
4
D
deepervalue🥇
Entry 63¢·46 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
76.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $29 · WR 76.0%
R
RayGuy🥈
Entry 6¢·226 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $14 · WR 77.1%
G
garbagecollect4🥉
Entry 85¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $8 · WR 68.4%
P
PollyForge
Entry 7¢·6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $0 · WR 84.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$544
Avg Win Rate
83.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$460(-84.5%)
Whales
15
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 86¢·194.6 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $168 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt🥈
Entry 70¢·136.7 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $95 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 91¢·80 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $73 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 90¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $45 · WR 86.4%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $37 · WR 89.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 85¢·39.9 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $34 · WR 69.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 94¢·28 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $26 · WR 66.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 97¢·23.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $23 · WR 79.2%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 86¢·20.4 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $17 · WR 60.2%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 94¢·8.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 78.5%
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