Politics22 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WV-01 House election by 35%-40%?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

17¢

17% implied

NO Price

83¢

83% implied

Volume

$4.3K

241 trades

Smart Whales

11

of 65 traders

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory

10 MARKETS · $13.5K MATCHED

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Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs7 NO

36%64%

64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 0 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges

+23 new YES$626+23 new NO$1.4K

$752 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $30 is directional: YES $30·NO $0

YES Team

Total Invested

$33

Avg Win Rate

74.1%

Aggregate P&L

+$3(+8.2%)

Whales

4

Entry 17¢·145 shares

+$1INV $24 · WR 75.0%

mustbethewater🥈

Entry 8¢·50 shares

+$5INV $4 · WR 79.6%

garbagecollect4🥉

Entry 59¢·6 shares

$-3INV $4 · WR 68.9%

Entry 17¢·11.9 shares

—INV $2 · WR 62.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$190

Avg Win Rate

84.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$122(+64.3%)

Whales

7

quietparcel🥇

Entry 57¢·170 shares

+$45INV $97 · WR 88.7%

Entry 50¢·65.5 shares

+$22INV $33 · WR 79.6%

godblessme2026🥉

Entry 81¢·40 shares

+$1INV $32 · WR 88.2%

Entry 18¢·67 shares

+$44INV $12 · WR 55.0%

Entry 50¢·20 shares

+$7INV $10 · WR 89.0%

Entry 50¢·10 shares

+$3INV $5 · WR 84.5%

Entry 50¢·2 shares

+$1INV $1 · WR 66.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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