Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 9%-12%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$921
54 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 40 traders
OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $38.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$0(-20.8%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$486
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$33(+6.8%)
Whales
14
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 88¢·179 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $158 · WR 87.6%
P
probability◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·90 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $90 · WR 60.7%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 99¢·50.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $50 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 100¢·49.3 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $49 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $40 · WR 79.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 98¢·25 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 88.5%
P
plainfolder
Entry 100¢·18 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 87.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 88.6%
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