Politics13 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$5.3K
304 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 74 traders · 1 on both sides
NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs7 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 54% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%
+1 new YES$1+1 new NO$5
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$1 of $8 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$9
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-36.5%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$52
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+68.2%)
Whales
7
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro🥇
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
80.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $16 · WR 80.2%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 88.7%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 50¢·8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $4 · WR 66.6%
T
thanksforplayinhedged
Entry 81¢·4.7 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$4
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 55.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 60¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 88.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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