Politics7 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 60%-65%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$1.3K
100 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 48 traders
NY-10 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $15.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs10 NO
17%83%
83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 77%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$19+4 new NO$62
$2 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $13·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$13
Avg Win Rate
55.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-6.4%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$107
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$47(+44.1%)
Whales
10
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $20 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 61¢·30 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $18 · WR 86.0%
H
Hugin-og-Munin🥉
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 66.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 88.6%
M
melchior1248
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 69.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 88.8%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 89¢·10 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 84.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 89¢·8.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 79.5%
S
Spectacular-Ladder-Ant
Entry 50¢·14.9 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $7 · WR 78.8%
L
luciebot
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 82.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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