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Politics53 days left

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-06 House election by 35% or more?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
29¢
29% implied
NO Price
71¢
71% implied
Volume
$240
28 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 16 traders

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

9 MARKETS · $3.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

7 YESvs4 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 88% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 78%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$21+3 new NO$71
$4 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $50 is directional: YES $44·NO $6
YES Team
Total Invested
$44
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$35(+78.0%)
Whales
7
S
sweetj🥇
Entry 23¢·110.6 shares
+$0INV $26 · WR 76.0%
P
plainfolder🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 85.6%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 88.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 89.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 85.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 8¢·40 shares
+$6INV $3 · WR 87.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 8¢·26 shares
+$4INV $2 · WR 89.5%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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