Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-07 House election by 65%-70%?
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$8.2K
360 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 123 traders
MD-07 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $30.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $193 is directional: YES $193·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$251
Avg Win Rate
62.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$95(-37.6%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$308
Avg Win Rate
84.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$26(-8.5%)
Whales
11
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 65¢·249 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $163 · WR 87.6%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 74¢·44 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $33 · WR 70.0%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 22¢·105 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $23 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 74¢·30 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $22 · WR 89.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 67¢·30.9 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $21 · WR 88.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 28¢·38.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $11 · WR 79.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 73¢·13 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 87.5%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 71¢·12.9 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $9 · WR 86.1%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 66.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 65¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 192ms