Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-03 House election by 30%-35%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$5.8K
187 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 83 traders · 1 on both sides
MA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $26.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs11 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 0.5¢
YES 21%NO 79%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 0.5¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side · 1 on both sides
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $838 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $3·NO $832YES Team
Total Invested
$33
Avg Win Rate
83.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$31(-94.4%)
Whales
3
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥇hedged
Entry 24¢·114.7 shares·also $81 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 86.2%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥈
Entry 29¢·10 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.5%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 72.5%
R
RayGuy🥉hedged
Entry 1¢·210 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 56.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
89.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$64(+4.6%)
Whales
11
T
TrangNgo🥇
Entry 99¢·840.6 shares
Invested
$832
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $832 · WR 92.0%
K
korda77🥈
Entry 99¢·213 shares
Invested
$211
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $211 · WR 84.8%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 99¢·130 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $129 · WR 86.1%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 71¢·114.7 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$81
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $81 · WR 86.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 99¢·39.8 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $39 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys
Entry 72¢·52.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $38 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 97¢·35 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $34 · WR 87.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $16 · WR 87.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 71¢·21 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $15 · WR 86.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 80.6%
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