Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$6.6K
253 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 88 traders
IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $46.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 75% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $80 is directional: YES $60·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$60
Avg Win Rate
63.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$118(+195.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$401
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$142(-35.4%)
Whales
11
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 100¢·87.5 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $87 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 78¢·103.5 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $81 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 79¢·89.8 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $71 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 92¢·75 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $69 · WR 89.0%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 79¢·38 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $30 · WR 87.9%
L
lpgb
Entry 90¢·26 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $23 · WR 71.7%
R
RayGuy
Entry 80¢·13.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $11 · WR 57.9%
V
Vicious-Wannabe
Entry 78¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 81.2%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 86¢·11 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $9 · WR 68.4%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 84¢·9 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $8 · WR 81.6%
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